The case of Michael King, M.D. and Kinston Medical Specialists, P.A. before the Department of Health and Human Services, Departmental Appeals Board, Medicare Appeals Council (MAC), Docket M-10-321 offers one of the most distressing cases of acceptance of an unreliable statistical extrapolation.
Of particular note in this case is how the precision changed as the case moved from the original sampling through the Qualified Independent Contractor QIC reconsideration until after the Administrative Law Judge (ALJ) decision.
A witness who is qualified as an expert by knowledge, skill, experience, training, or education may testify in the form of an opinion or otherwise if:
(a) the expert’s scientific, technical, or other specialized knowledge will help the trier of fact to understand the evidence or to determine a fact in issue;
(b) the testimony is based on sufficient facts or data;
(c) the testimony is the product of reliable principles and methods; and
(d) the expert has reliably applied the principles and methods to the facts of the case.
So here is our question: Is =/- 40% a case of “reliably applied”?