Tag Archives: KINSTON MEDICAL SPECIALISTS

In Statistical Extrapolations, “Precision Not Required” by Medicare Appeals Council (MAC)

The case of Michael King, M.D. and Kinston Medical Specialists, P.A. before the Department of Health and Human Services, Departmental Appeals Board, Medicare Appeals Council (MAC), Docket M-10-321 offers one of the most distressing cases of acceptance of an unreliable statistical extrapolation.

MAC_King_Case.001

 Of particular note in this case is how the precision changed as the case moved from the original sampling through the Qualified Independent Contractor QIC reconsideration until after the Administrative Law Judge (ALJ) decision.

MAC_KING_PRECISION.001Another way to see this is to examine the range of precision allowed by the MPIM and that accepted in this case by the MAC.

MAC_KING_PRECISION_RANGE.001At Barraclough, we have been involved in a number of Medicare appeals, and unfortunately, we must report to you that this case is not atypical.

In our view, the type of statistical work routinely accepted by the Medicare Appeals Council (MAC) does not meet Federal Evidence Standards Rule 702Testimony by Expert Witnesses“.

A witness who is qualified as an expert by knowledge, skill, experience, training, or education may testify in the form of an opinion or otherwise if:

(a) the expert’s scientific, technical, or other specialized knowledge will help the trier of fact to understand the evidence or to determine a fact in issue;

(b) the testimony is based on sufficient facts or data;

(c) the testimony is the product of reliable principles and methods; and

(d) the expert has reliably applied the principles and methods to the facts of the case.

So here is our question:  Is =/- 40% a case of “reliably applied”?